PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

srunml

0xb9a3d17ee0fb1ffb221124d1616cd97d8e34dc90

Realised P&L
$-157.74
Volume
$154.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1600.135$1.1k$212.91
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1200.095$29.35$7.72
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0700.013$0.03$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 02:11Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.115$19.37
03-09 11:57Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.108$168.48
03-09 01:12Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.11$30.80
03-07 18:40Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.108$177.02
03-07 14:13Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.111$6.08
03-07 14:04Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.111$1.13
03-07 12:17Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.112$20.74
03-07 09:03Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.11$650.05
02-27 02:22Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?SELL0.009$0.98
02-15 13:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.11$738.10
02-15 13:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.11$957.00
02-15 13:17Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.038$50.16
02-15 13:16Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.018$18.54
02-15 09:45Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.11$489.06
02-15 09:43Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.11$616.00