PolyBot

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Traders

slavikbalenciaga

0xb9a161e9e89528232c17953ff3fb94688252f485

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$83.4k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$366.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.375$219.82$32.13
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0660.052$51.98$13.69
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.9510.975$48.75+$1.20
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0720.840$37.08+$33.90
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.270$6.75$1.00
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.555$1.93$0.26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.6040.000$0.00$351.85
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$32.85
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 26, 2026? · No0.6700.000$0.00$14.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 19:02Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.439999956$4.00
09-14 19:01Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?SELL0.0485740354$3.49
09-14 18:54Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999994$246.00
09-13 08:48Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$1.95
09-11 04:10Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?BUY0.069$37.05
09-11 04:02Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0678857404$17.82
09-10 19:42LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?BUY0.989$9.03
09-10 19:41LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?BUY0.985$49.25
09-10 19:41LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.969$49.42
09-10 15:32LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.72$3.60
08-26 18:05Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.06$4.31
08-26 10:12Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.72$14.40
02-15 09:02European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY0.6899999935$1.06
01-08 11:40Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4$184.15
01-07 00:37Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0719999801$3.18