kenchan5544332211
0xb99b5c2f885769c0c287fa4dfb454e128e8ab581
- Realised P&L
- $-607.45
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.10at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?
- +$224.44at 0.609Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?
- +$164.92at 0.244Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
- +$140.51at 0.566Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?
- +$113.40at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:11 | Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August? | BUY | 0.4920098266 | $89.00 |
| 08-03 01:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7799999944 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 01:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1078057367 | $26.95 |
| 08-02 12:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.57 |
| 08-02 11:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.88 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 09:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.0316745837 | $6.33 |
| 08-02 09:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8302660327 | $138.00 |
| 08-02 09:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.31 | $10.54 |
| 08-02 09:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.31 | $9.61 |
| 08-02 09:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7687872381 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 09:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 08-02 09:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 09:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 09:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.1512 | $18.90 |
| 08-02 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1841085021 | $5.00 |