kenchan5544332211
0xb99b5c2f885769c0c287fa4dfb454e128e8ab581
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $324.6k
- Markets traded
- 488
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded488
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.036Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24?
- +$397.00at 0.050Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?
- +$394.40at 0.320Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.5
- +$358.50at 0.535Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 9?
- +$340.37at 0.597Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.05 |
| 09-17 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-17 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.11259 | $4.50 |
| 09-17 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3162341536 | $12.72 |
| 09-17 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2296190068 | $21.46 |
| 09-17 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.04 | $7.60 |
| 09-16 20:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.1105011527 | $11.02 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.1364090264 | $20.19 |
| 09-16 20:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.14666 | $1.47 |
| 09-16 20:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.175715757 | $1.71 |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.13 | $46.54 |
| 09-16 16:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3892056818 | $34.25 |
| 09-16 16:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 09-16 16:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3794784288 | $23.57 |