0xB994fb765045681cf8EBd8B20d4F39be23fDee46-1761452256587
0xb994fb765045681cf8ebd8b20d4f39be23fdee46
- Realised P&L
- $-171.44
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $9.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.475 | $9.50 | −$5.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.84at 0.587Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$5.72at 0.768Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
- +$5.10at 0.490Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 31?
- +$5.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?
- +$4.83at 0.517Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.315 | $1.57 |
| 09-24 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-18 14:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-04 14:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 09-04 13:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.18 |
| 09-03 08:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 08:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 08-30 05:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.955 | $15.28 |
| 08-21 13:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 23? | SELL | 0.987 | $6.70 |
| 08-20 00:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.896 | $1.98 |
| 08-17 02:03 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 01:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.80 |
| 08-16 07:47 | Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-15 16:45 | Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 0 - 0 Getafe CF? | BUY | 0.8299999925 | $2.22 |
| 08-14 09:22 | Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $1.79 |