penapk
0xb994bc36b508f2fe4dcce853194e84730b0d72d5
- Realised P&L
- $-209.33
- Volume
- $38.6k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $125.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.35at 0.200Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$111.20at 0.576Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$103.80at 0.091Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?
- +$96.00at 0.107Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$69.00at 0.310Hornets vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 14:37 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June? | SELL | 0.5926484648 | $59.26 |
| 06-20 02:26 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? | SELL | 0.183 | $18.30 |
| 06-19 03:20 | Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $6.70 |
| 04-09 01:33 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 04-09 01:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | SELL | 0.7 | $139.99 |
| 04-08 01:48 | Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.43 |
| 04-08 01:47 | Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $6.60 |
| 04-06 05:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 04-01 02:52 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 03-31 06:54 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 03-31 06:53 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 03-29 03:13 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 03-29 03:13 | Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $6.18 |
| 03-15 08:29 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8 | $20.25 |
| 03-15 08:28 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.228713 | $22.87 |