0xB98A43ebe70d550653137a4ee386DaEc2046A724-1769968092068
0xb98a43ebe70d550653137a4ee386daec2046a724
- Realised P&L
- $69.55
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $344.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis · Tahlia Kokkinis | 0.510 | 0.505 | $342.16 | −$3.39 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.023 | $2.30 | −$1.10 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · No | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 14? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.64at 0.537Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5
- +$90.38at 0.604Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
- +$32.53at 0.839Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?
- +$27.11at 0.848Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?
- +$7.98at 0.614Bulls vs. Wizards
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:46 | Caldas da Rainha: Kylie Collins vs Kayla Cross | SELL | 0.5 | $68.63 |
| 09-15 18:49 | Caldas da Rainha: Kylie Collins vs Kayla Cross | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $70.00 |
| 09-15 16:01 | W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $174.30 |
| 09-15 16:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $178.81 |
| 09-15 14:24 | W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis | BUY | 0.5099999995 | $127.26 |
| 09-15 14:22 | W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $43.99 |
| 09-15 12:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.837999997 | $150.00 |
| 09-14 15:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 14? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $4.00 |
| 09-12 12:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 15:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $203.08 |
| 09-11 10:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.828999998 | $168.52 |
| 09-08 19:47 | Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $228.34 |
| 09-08 15:24 | Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5914495962 | $135.19 |
| 09-08 15:22 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.40 |
| 08-09 15:38 | Will GAIS win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |