Ajar7
0xb983a40f68190eeeda0a6608e4983f7bd9718e5c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.76
- Volume
- $285.36
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $6.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.991 | 0.983 | $2.32 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.990 | $1.73 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $1.15 | −$0.77 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.974 | 0.959 | $1.00 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.52at 0.027Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$-1.57at 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.92 |
| 09-15 18:27 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9739999312 | $1.02 |
| 09-15 18:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.74 |
| 09-08 23:57 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.48 |
| 09-08 23:54 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9909999992 | $2.34 |
| 08-28 09:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.0469999706 | $1.47 |