PolyBot

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Traders

0xb98137C7C77e4187F00960ab5d9A203e1e2AB88C-1773713793906

0xb98137c7c77e4187f00960ab5d9a203e1e2ab88c

Realised P&L
$4.70
Volume
$94.27
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$3.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.4300.405$2.07−$0.13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes0.9750.978$1.68+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$1.40
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Paper Rex0.6600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?BUY0.975$1.68
10-09 03:25Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsBUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-21 03:10Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.968999551$1.80
09-15 02:57Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.8659997789$1.70
09-07 03:23US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?BUY0.971999993$1.67
08-28 03:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.4899999685$1.40
08-14 08:36Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9659999008$5.28
07-28 06:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.4949999664$1.40
07-20 08:08Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9869999996$2.20
07-13 06:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.9739999951$1.60
07-07 03:42Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4299998945$2.20
06-30 06:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9699999965$5.49
06-23 05:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9299996435$2.40
06-15 03:03US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-05 04:00Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.9769999331$2.00