TraderBeas
0xb96a0102425dcb20a59814d5020702c03548000b
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $204.4k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 1.000 | $1.3k | +$636.39 |
| Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.974 | $363.11 | +$285.11 |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.64 | −$636.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$680.38at 0.235Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 32 be less than 0.1?
- +$629.93at 0.008Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?
- +$410.11at 0.027Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?
- +$181.34at 0.396Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
- +$107.35at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:50 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.624 | $6.24 |
| 11-01 08:09 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $363.00 |
| 11-01 08:06 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $362.00 |
| 11-01 06:46 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0103626943 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 06:45 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 06:43 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 10-31 07:05 | Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.9299999861 | $18.00 |
| 10-31 06:34 | Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.9685880391 | $320.00 |
| 10-31 03:57 | Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.88 |
| 10-30 04:11 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 10-30 01:15 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299447143 | $400.00 |
| 10-29 15:38 | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1836974625 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 13:59 | Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2300 on October 29? | BUY | 0.998317314 | $180.00 |
| 10-29 08:08 | Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2322580639 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 07:37 | Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.125 | $5.00 |