jesal
0xb967b26c82889267d06a9b113f8a31182f5b10b3
- Realised P&L
- $-520.88
- Volume
- $81.0k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $14.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.08at 0.084Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
- +$184.84at 0.075Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$109.96at 0.011Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?
- +$59.00at 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 25?
- +$48.45at 0.031Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 17:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.77 |
| 10-04 17:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.50 |
| 10-02 09:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.0119689922 | $1.93 |
| 10-02 09:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.0468438532 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 09:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.36 |
| 10-02 09:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.0050608141 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.0229617304 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 09:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.0379999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.0089149867 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 09:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 10:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0079819413 | $2.21 |
| 09-30 10:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0379999992 | $1.00 |