0xb961d82da97cbc8f8a4c71e6562bca145e18d074
- Realised P&L
- $28.52
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,435
- Open portfolio
- $80.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,435
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.74at 0.112Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?
- +$6.45at 0.080Will Rio Ave FC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?
- +$5.72at 0.062Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30?
- +$5.55at 0.054Will Morgan Wallen win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?
- +$5.44at 0.130Will Death Stranding 2: On the Beach win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-05 17:40 | Will Sergei Pavlovich be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 01-05 17:04 | Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 01-05 16:25 | Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,090,000 and $1,100,000 by February 1? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 01-05 15:58 | Set Handicap: Cazaux (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 01-05 15:17 | West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.55 | $1.14 |
| 01-05 10:55 | Monaco vs. Partizan | SELL | 0.86 | $0.90 |
| 01-05 00:43 | Will England win? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.23 |
| 01-05 00:39 | Will England win? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.06 |
| 01-04 17:52 | Will Jensen Huang say "Quantum" 5+ times during NVIDIA keynote? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.56 |
| 01-04 03:33 | Suns vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.27 | $0.36 |
| 01-03 23:40 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.75 |
| 01-03 23:17 | Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.72 |
| 01-03 23:07 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.13 |
| 01-03 18:33 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.99 |
| 01-03 13:04 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.12 |