dafa0808a
0xb960f1f16fb37b36037f495d92548e6e8eb25bbe
- Realised P&L
- $-9.62
- Volume
- $53.4k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $35.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.92at 0.958Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
- +$7.38at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$6.75at 0.640US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.71at 0.680Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$2.01at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 15:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Elon Musk by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 15:39 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999966 | $7.00 |
| 10-04 15:39 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $6.00 |
| 10-04 15:39 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 15:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999507 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9274595423 | $11.00 |
| 07-16 02:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.9739999429 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 02:39 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9379999957 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 02:39 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9729999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999331 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 03:02 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999994 | $21.00 |
| 06-26 03:01 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999994 | $11.00 |
| 06-09 06:39 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $11.00 |