PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lmar

0xb95f77dc5e3d524f8149b32553eb16dbaefb6622

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$173.1k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$521.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 France? · Yes0.0700.075$107.14+$7.14
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 France? · Yes0.0670.066$97.76−$2.24
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 France? · Yes0.1100.105$95.45−$4.54
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 France? · Yes0.0800.075$93.75−$6.25
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 France? · Yes0.1100.105$77.04−$3.67
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 France? · Yes0.0690.068$49.35−$0.65
Spain to win the second half? · Yes0.9800.495$0.51−$0.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$4.95
Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up0.0340.000$0.00−$6.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Down0.0040.000$0.00−$19.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.0040.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$9.99
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.0280.000$0.00−$9.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 08:52Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 France?BUY0.11$80.71
09-28 08:52Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 France?BUY0.0689003503$50.00
09-28 08:50Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 France?BUY0.08$100.00
09-28 08:49Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 France?BUY0.07$100.00
09-28 08:49Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 France?BUY0.1099999999$100.00
09-28 08:49Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 France?BUY0.067$100.00
09-28 08:09Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSELL0.02$2.22
09-28 08:09Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY0.0336021505$10.00
09-28 08:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.0011869292$10.00
09-28 07:54Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?SELL0.82$581.61
09-28 07:15Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.8050372484$571.00
09-28 07:14Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?SELL0.1860761597$81.75
09-28 06:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.001$10.00
09-28 06:42Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.2276139231$100.00
09-27 21:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5PM ETSELL0.6671332032$88.85