0xb952d6588ecc35c14a0b6ce0f90891102ac7eb5b
0xb952d6588ecc35c14a0b6ce0f90891102ac7eb5b
- Realised P&L
- $-19.05
- Volume
- $527.23
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $53.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.485 | $19.40 | +$2.20 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.757 | 0.750 | $15.01 | −$0.13 |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 2.5% to 4%? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.625 | $12.50 | −$1.30 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.574 | 0.186 | $3.35 | −$6.97 |
| Will Rafael Fiziev fight Benoit Saint-Denis next? · Yes | 0.405 | 0.060 | $3.31 | −$19.08 |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · No | 0.203 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.15 |
| Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.99at 0.400Will Derke play for Gentle Mates in 2027?
- +$-1.93at 0.597Will Derke play for Gentle Mates in 2027?
- +$-2.20at 0.540Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?
- +$-5.20at 0.570Will the KT Wiz win the 2026 Korean Series?