dkolev
0xb950c652f8b5fdac3d578d3030706e64ac34fafd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.86
- Volume
- $521.67
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $42.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain finish top 8 in UCL league phase? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $42.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.60at 0.647Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.08at 0.651Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$2.28at 0.942Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.19at 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$1.88at 0.956Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 10:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain finish top 8 in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $43.00 |
| 07-20 21:20 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9539999992 | $41.00 |
| 07-04 06:26 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.64 | $26.47 |
| 07-04 06:26 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2799999878 | $11.96 |
| 06-28 10:16 | Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.939999999 | $36.68 |
| 05-25 10:16 | Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9647243639 | $35.00 |
| 04-12 08:18 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.6509999907 | $11.35 |
| 04-12 07:26 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.9779999989 | $6.92 |
| 04-12 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999033 | $1.06 |
| 04-12 07:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $1.11 |
| 04-12 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $0.93 |
| 04-12 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6499998984 | $1.22 |
| 04-12 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.28 |
| 04-12 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999693 | $1.19 |
| 04-11 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.21 |