FernandoCoimbra
0xb94f431fe5d8871f8b03f2f285bf3321371f9546
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $37.8k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.12at 0.762Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$100.76at 0.175Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$75.28at 0.720Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$62.73at 0.905Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
- +$52.50at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 02:03 | Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.964 | $8.21 |
| 08-28 02:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.84 | $605.30 |
| 08-28 02:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.57 | $146.46 |
| 08-09 18:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $462.72 |
| 08-09 18:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $133.74 |
| 08-09 18:51 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.924 | $602.64 |
| 08-05 13:06 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.926 | $203.72 |
| 08-05 13:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.739 | $147.80 |
| 07-05 15:21 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.24 |
| 07-05 15:20 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.901 | $126.14 |
| 07-05 15:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.776415 | $155.28 |
| 07-04 22:11 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3390155834 | $217.55 |
| 07-04 21:49 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.03 | $83.33 |
| 06-24 23:23 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8779999999 | $120.00 |
| 06-16 15:23 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.892 | $124.40 |