PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FernandoCoimbra

0xb94f431fe5d8871f8b03f2f285bf3321371f9546

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$37.8k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9641.000$749.63+$26.63
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8200.979$687.55+$111.50
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8810.991$646.03+$71.09
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8700.455$6.37$5.81
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6000.100$2.00$10.00
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026? · No0.7700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Un Verano Sin Ti by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 7? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$8.24
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026? · No0.6700.000$0.00$6.70
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$30.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8730.000$0.00$832.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1? · No0.9140.000$0.00$100.00
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · No0.9520.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? · No0.6800.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 02:03Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.964$8.21
08-28 02:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.84$605.30
08-28 02:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.57$146.46
08-09 18:55Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.83$462.72
08-09 18:52Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.82$133.74
08-09 18:51Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.924$602.64
08-05 13:06Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.926$203.72
08-05 13:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.739$147.80
07-05 15:21Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.55$8.24
07-05 15:20Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.901$126.14
07-05 15:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.776415$155.28
07-04 22:11Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3390155834$217.55
07-04 21:49Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.03$83.33
06-24 23:23Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8779999999$120.00
06-16 15:23Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.892$124.40