dublyash2
0xb94c9e108b961b632fa617fca3731801b4834c0c
- Realised P&L
- $9.9k
- Volume
- $82.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.365Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.413Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.534Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$487.24at 0.775Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
- +$217.64at 0.847Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 03:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3313385827 | $126.24 |
| 10-06 03:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.308 | $30.80 |
| 10-06 01:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.14 |
| 10-06 01:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $43.27 |
| 10-06 01:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $26.21 |
| 10-06 01:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $94.50 |
| 10-06 01:29 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.375 | $105.00 |
| 10-06 01:28 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $168.46 |
| 10-06 01:21 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $223.15 |
| 10-06 01:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3149782283 | $130.21 |
| 10-05 05:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 10-05 04:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5276665136 | $229.75 |
| 10-05 04:29 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799571089 | $746.78 |
| 10-05 02:34 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8025690658 | $524.08 |
| 10-05 02:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $192.27 |