PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dublyash2

0xb94c9e108b961b632fa617fca3731801b4834c0c

Realised P&L
$9.9k
Volume
$82.1k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6030.940$3.1k+$1.1k
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.7880.670$1.6k−$283.96
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Yes0.8740.855$1.4k−$30.95
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · Yes0.4290.310$740.35−$284.13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes0.3980.405$367.40+$6.49
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.4600.505$184.94+$16.48
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.5170.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3780.000$0.00−$15.12
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$20.00
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$269.98
Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026? · No0.3810.000$0.00−$500.57
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$76.90
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$190.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 03:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.3313385827$126.24
10-06 03:56Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.308$30.80
10-06 01:46Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.71$35.14
10-06 01:46Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.46$43.27
10-06 01:46Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.42$26.21
10-06 01:30Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.45$94.50
10-06 01:29Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.375$105.00
10-06 01:28Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.46$168.46
10-06 01:21Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.37$223.15
10-06 01:18Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.3149782283$130.21
10-05 05:09Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.52$26.00
10-05 04:48Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.5276665136$229.75
10-05 04:29Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.8799571089$746.78
10-05 02:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.8025690658$524.08
10-05 02:23Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.87$192.27