PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Magnum

0xb940f9f249d45ad830c6ca73adfee58317fc224b

Realised P&L
$-77.98
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$250.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will BlackBerry say "Interest Rate" during earnings call? · Yes0.1450.565$209.16+$155.54
Will BlackBerry say "Amazon" during earnings call? · Yes0.1200.135$22.50+$2.50
Will BlackBerry say "Quantum" during earnings call? · Yes0.1300.125$19.23$0.77
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? · No0.0310.000$0.00$124.51
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$292.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 12:56Will BlackBerry say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?BUY0.1448406267$53.62
09-23 12:55Will BlackBerry say "Amazon" during earnings call?BUY0.1199999998$20.00
09-23 12:53Will BlackBerry say "Quantum" during earnings call?BUY0.1299999999$20.00
04-13 00:23Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.0110822073$5.19
04-06 02:27Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?BUY0.1089417124$49.15
12-10 07:47Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY0.0769665377$192.70
12-09 06:44Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?BUY0.025$53.81
12-09 06:44Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?SELL0.0385321935$53.82
12-09 05:42Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?BUY0.038973319$70.70
12-08 07:37Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?BUY0.0699999994$97.77
12-08 06:14Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY0.1099999991$99.95
11-05 23:50Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?BUY0.2199999971$48.76
04-23 12:06Will Fantano rate new Tswift album above 5?BUY0.0269387341$19.00
04-22 21:25Will Fantano rate new Tswift album above 5?BUY0.0768291569$35.00
02-23 21:26Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary?BUY0.3808593743$250.00