RedHN187-
0xb93fc78ba0d28cbebcac9945aa68f3c88f7c9a79
- Realised P&L
- $-370.77
- Volume
- $53.8k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $261.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.35at 0.362Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- +$134.20at 0.840Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?
- +$94.87at 0.174Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?
- +$93.01at 0.746Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$82.25at 0.851Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:29 | Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.81 |
| 09-22 15:29 | Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.9 | $112.31 |
| 09-21 14:49 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.2822261905 | $11.85 |
| 09-21 14:34 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-21 13:34 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.12 |
| 09-20 22:20 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.0199211538 | $1.04 |
| 09-20 19:55 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-18 10:57 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.66 | $44.22 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.11 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.93 |
| 09-16 18:56 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | SELL | 0.65 | $52.83 |
| 09-16 18:56 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | SELL | 0.651 | $19.53 |
| 09-16 18:55 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | BUY | 0.348 | $3.48 |
| 09-16 18:55 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? | BUY | 0.34 | $8.50 |
| 09-15 19:25 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.0821567401 | $9.06 |