PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RedHN187-

0xb93fc78ba0d28cbebcac9945aa68f3c88f7c9a79

Realised P&L
$-152.50
Volume
$42.7k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$36.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.9860.998$29.93+$0.34
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? · Yes0.8780.450$2.70$2.57
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · No0.2080.030$2.61$15.47
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · No0.0700.011$0.99$5.03
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0830.004$0.38$8.66
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0120.005$0.35$0.49
Will "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.20
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? · No0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Will "AMERICA'S SWEETHEARTS: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$3.34
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$22.13
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$3.85
Will "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.64
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · No0.1130.000$0.00$24.73
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? · Yes0.7020.000$0.00$72.35
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$35.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 01:03Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15?BUY0.8783333333$5.27
08-02 16:20Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?BUY0.818$36.81
08-02 16:15Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?BUY0.79$8.69
08-02 15:17Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?BUY0.819$19.66
08-02 15:17Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?BUY0.8110084$20.28
08-02 15:07Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?BUY0.81$1.62
08-02 14:36Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?BUY0.81$15.92
08-02 14:22Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?SELL0.999$19.98
08-02 08:02Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?BUY0.986$29.58
08-02 06:25Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?BUY0.7857142857$55.00
08-01 19:56Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.012$0.84
08-01 17:51Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?SELL0.238$4.76
08-01 07:19Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?SELL0.073$1.46
08-01 07:14Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?SELL0.073$1.46
08-01 02:33Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?SELL0.971$15.54