RedHN187-
0xb93fc78ba0d28cbebcac9945aa68f3c88f7c9a79
- Realised P&L
- $-152.50
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $36.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$249.48at 0.351Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- +$134.20at 0.840Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?
- +$94.87at 0.174Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?
- +$82.25at 0.851Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?
- +$68.20at 0.838Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:03 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 15? | BUY | 0.8783333333 | $5.27 |
| 08-02 16:20 | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.818 | $36.81 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.79 | $8.69 |
| 08-02 15:17 | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.819 | $19.66 |
| 08-02 15:17 | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.8110084 | $20.28 |
| 08-02 15:07 | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.62 |
| 08-02 14:36 | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.81 | $15.92 |
| 08-02 14:22 | Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-02 08:02 | Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.986 | $29.58 |
| 08-02 06:25 | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | BUY | 0.7857142857 | $55.00 |
| 08-01 19:56 | Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.84 |
| 08-01 17:51 | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | SELL | 0.238 | $4.76 |
| 08-01 07:19 | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | SELL | 0.073 | $1.46 |
| 08-01 07:14 | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | SELL | 0.073 | $1.46 |
| 08-01 02:33 | Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? | SELL | 0.971 | $15.54 |