PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

garciascott

0xb92d580be7a692db46c7657ec5d2e266a329d698

Realised P&L
$-6.10
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$6.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 3? · No0.9991.000$1.89+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? · No0.9961.000$1.86+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18? · No0.9981.000$1.78+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No0.9921.000$1.15+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 13:03Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28?BUY0.996$1.85
07-02 13:38Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 3?BUY0.999$1.89
06-26 22:09Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27?BUY0.992$1.14
05-16 20:49Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18?BUY0.998$1.78
03-02 08:52Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?BUY0.998$1.87
02-20 05:47Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?BUY0.9569998746$1.71
02-12 09:55Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12?BUY0.998999592$1.42
02-10 09:45Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on February 10?BUY0.999$1.18
02-03 18:55Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$999.99
02-03 18:28Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$1.0k
02-03 18:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.98$1.0k
02-03 18:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.9809999992$1.0k
02-03 18:11Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.998$1.0k
02-03 11:59Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.999$1.0k
02-03 11:57Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.995$1.0k