garciascott
0xb92d580be7a692db46c7657ec5d2e266a329d698
- Realised P&L
- $-6.10
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $6.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.89 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.86 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.78 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No | 0.992 | 1.000 | $1.15 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.65at 0.340Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$0.08at 0.957Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?
- +$0.05at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?
- +$0.00at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.85 |
| 07-02 13:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.89 |
| 06-26 22:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.14 |
| 05-16 20:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.78 |
| 03-02 08:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.87 |
| 02-20 05:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20? | BUY | 0.9569998746 | $1.71 |
| 02-12 09:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12? | BUY | 0.998999592 | $1.42 |
| 02-10 09:45 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on February 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.18 |
| 02-03 18:55 | Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $999.99 |
| 02-03 18:28 | Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 02-03 18:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.0k |
| 02-03 18:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9809999992 | $1.0k |
| 02-03 18:11 | Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 02-03 11:59 | Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 02-03 11:57 | Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.0k |