0xb92992f75fb76f8c8cb434ef00c28e0c70e7a6ec
- Realised P&L
- $78.82
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $22.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.67at 0.006Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$0.02at 0.979Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?
- +$0.00at 0.999Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$-0.10at 0.997Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-14 10:25 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 10:24 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 10:23 | Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 10:23 | Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 10:22 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 01-07 09:33 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 12:47 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | SELL | 0.997 | $99.80 |
| 12-29 12:47 | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 12-29 12:41 | Weed rescheduled in 2025? | SELL | 0.996 | $99.90 |
| 12-29 12:41 | Weed rescheduled in 2025? | BUY | 0.996999997 | $100.00 |
| 11-30 03:09 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 11-30 03:01 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:50 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.978999441 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:49 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October? | BUY | 0.9949991244 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 13:07 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |