PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

aahmadov

0xb9222f10a7b0e7cd0ad1e56af7bc47ebd3310cf7

Realised P&L
$-29.31
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$19.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.1500.580$3.87+$2.87
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.390$2.60+$1.60
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? · Yes0.0620.056$1.36$0.16
Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino in August? · No0.3100.355$1.15+$0.15
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.0900.100$1.11+$0.11
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2320.213$1.07$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.1000.105$1.05+$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.1600.155$0.97$0.03
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.1300.120$0.92$0.08
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.2400.220$0.92$0.08
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.2200.185$0.84$0.16
Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.038$0.79$0.21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.1800.135$0.75$0.25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0250.015$0.62$0.38
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 01:26Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-04 01:17Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
08-03 15:31Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-03 15:30Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-03 15:30Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-03 15:30Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-03 15:27Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.017120063$1.00
08-01 09:39Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.005$0.56
08-01 09:37Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino in August?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-01 09:33Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
08-01 09:33Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
08-01 09:31Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-01 02:20Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1379998965$1.00
08-01 02:18Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?BUY0.0629999444$1.00
08-01 02:17Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?BUY0.06$0.52