PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-11
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.14 to 0.20. 55 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.141,0501,050
0.153741,424
0.163711,796
0.173412,137
0.183022,439
0.191402,579
0.207873,366
0.212523,618
0.224594,077
0.233964,474
0.24714,545
0.256045,149

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.13330330
0.128261,156
0.113251,481
0.102201,701
0.096052,306
0.081,3503,656
0.061,0584,713
0.053,4638,176
0.0420,82929,005
0.039,74738,751
0.0219,22757,978
0.0118,54576,523

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.87330330
0.888261,156
0.893251,481
0.902201,701
0.916052,306
0.921,3503,656
0.941,0584,713
0.953,4638,176
0.9620,82929,005
0.979,74738,751
0.9819,22757,978
0.9918,54576,523

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.861,0501,050
0.853741,424
0.843711,796
0.833412,137
0.823022,439
0.811402,579
0.807873,366
0.792523,618
0.784594,077
0.773964,474
0.76714,545
0.756045,149

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,200.7
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,600
hetaczYes1,500
PoiuztrewqYes1,411
Kaiji123Yes1,209.72
DestimYes1,169.4
smalltimezzzYes801.22
runes-leoYes300
neverhackmeYes200
WanderingPandaYes131.77
1111Yes120
akhk1245Yes120
BitgodYes84.42
oboltusovaoYes67.86
EtherappYes50
H38-EXP-02Yes30
0x79CA294Ce92254Yes28.57
ElastinYes20
GlycogenYes15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:27:59BUYNo0.869999990513$11.00
06:05:42BUYYes0.13999988247$1.00
22:49:39BUYNo0.87100$87.00
22:00:33SELLYes0.13100$13.00
21:18:47SELLYes0.13100$13.00
18:32:11SELLYes0.1350$6.50
15:59:18SELLYes0.1320$2.60
14:39:50SELLYes0.13100$13.00
21:48:14BUYYes0.1450$7.00
21:28:41SELLYes0.1320$2.60
21:28:36BUYYes0.14104$14.56
21:26:50SELLYes0.13100$13.00
21:26:18SELLYes0.13100$13.00
20:56:48SELLYes0.13100$13.00
20:46:02SELLYes0.13100$13.00
20:44:38SELLYes0.13100$13.00
19:47:41BUYNo0.8710$8.80
17:36:33SELLYes0.1320$2.60
16:43:59BUYYes0.139999972729$4.00
15:59:17BUYNo0.8726$22.62
15:59:14BUYNo0.8710$8.70
13:21:12SELLYes0.134$0.47
13:20:57BUYYes0.14146$20.44
12:56:29BUYYes0.1432$4.48
11:55:02BUYYes0.1510$1.50