PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB921C3830e4491Cd379E469776932a68bD76F947-1772206370796

0xb921c3830e4491cd379e469776932a68bd76f947

Realised P&L
$-92.13
Volume
$25.3k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$215.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.7970.855$214.56+$14.56
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0150.002$1.02−$8.98
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.8040.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$2.37
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$2.00
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 08:16Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.014731113$10.00
10-28 11:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-28 09:15Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.7969885787$200.00
10-26 12:44Will EH Bildu win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.64$214.72
10-25 11:33US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?SELL0.2$24.14
10-25 10:02Will EH Bildu win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.5961251863$200.00
10-22 10:27US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.289999998$35.00
10-14 11:00Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.81$246.94
10-14 10:56Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.8199999997$250.00
10-08 11:10Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.23$12.10
10-06 12:02Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
10-05 14:17Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$252.80
10-05 07:15Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999967$176.67
10-05 07:11Spain snap election called by November 30?SELL0.99$31.04
10-05 07:11Spain snap election called by October 31?SELL0.99$73.87