0xb9203c657b696bfdc6e765c95804d40531a37922
- Realised P&L
- $-12.3k
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,176
- Open portfolio
- $338.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,176
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$2.3kat 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$2.1kat 0.571Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$1.8kat 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$1.7kat 0.542Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 01:42 | Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.20 |
| 03-20 23:13 | Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 03-20 23:13 | Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 03-19 23:36 | Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.13 |
| 03-19 19:22 | Will Kyle Freeman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.959 | $1.92 |
| 03-19 17:24 | Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.04 |
| 03-19 12:29 | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 03-19 12:29 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.79 | $5.53 |
| 03-19 12:28 | Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 03-19 12:28 | Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 03-19 12:28 | Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 03-19 04:48 | Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 03-19 04:48 | Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 03-19 02:50 | Will Jason Reynolds be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.88 |
| 03-19 02:50 | Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? | BUY | 0.805 | $4.03 |