Nero1st
0xb91fec01a411a9efa569e604b8da1c09d9b26221
- Realised P&L
- $-36.41
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $8.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.160US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
- +$-0.01at 0.690Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?
- +$-0.02at 0.410Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.09at 0.330Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$-0.14at 0.023Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 10:04 | Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0091159365 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 10:03 | Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 10:02 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 10:02 | Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 10:02 | Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 10:02 | CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 10:01 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:59 | Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:27 | Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:26 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:26 | Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25? | SELL | 0.68 | $0.98 |
| 07-25 09:25 | Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 21:01 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 17:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 23? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $0.98 |
| 03-23 17:14 | US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.25 |