PolyBot

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Traders

Jimbo427

0xb8fdfd760a5194f865ea0f9f00a033c6b1e5fe10

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$28.2k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$807.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? · No0.8600.925$457.24+$32.36
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? · Yes0.2140.230$137.87+$9.81
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.7090.675$135.00−$6.71
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m? · Yes0.1000.163$25.36+$9.76
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? · Yes0.0690.220$20.06+$13.76
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? · Yes0.1800.612$12.24+$8.64
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? · Yes0.1080.011$5.87−$51.81
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? · Yes0.1720.009$5.58−$101.12
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? · Yes0.0700.085$4.33+$0.76
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M? · Yes0.2800.011$3.15−$80.85
Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M? · Yes0.0500.003$1.25−$23.75
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00−$68.87
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$25.80
Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.2130.000$0.00−$96.10
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 08:26Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?BUY0.12$12.82
10-31 08:20Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?BUY0.86$25.93
10-31 05:23Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?BUY0.062$1.24
10-30 12:43Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?BUY0.05$10.50
10-30 08:57Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?BUY0.16$0.95
10-30 08:54Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?BUY0.08$2.40
10-30 00:27Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.7062390823$54.18
10-28 23:25Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?SELL0.1505219888$57.67
10-28 10:35Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?BUY0.1134676736$14.72
10-28 09:18Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?BUY0.0682668501$3.47
10-28 09:10Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?BUY0.07$3.56
10-24 22:02Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?BUY0.12895$25.79
10-23 11:21Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.1371186441$40.45
10-23 11:19Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.2640733333$79.22
10-23 07:07Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?BUY0.106$23.92