Jimbo427
0xb8fdfd760a5194f865ea0f9f00a033c6b1e5fe10
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $807.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.146Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?
- +$505.31at 0.535Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?
- +$296.55at 0.101Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?
- +$170.00at 0.150Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?
- +$151.99at 0.240Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 08:26 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.82 |
| 10-31 08:20 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.93 |
| 10-31 05:23 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.062 | $1.24 |
| 10-30 12:43 | Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.50 |
| 10-30 08:57 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.95 |
| 10-30 08:54 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 10-30 00:27 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.7062390823 | $54.18 |
| 10-28 23:25 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? | SELL | 0.1505219888 | $57.67 |
| 10-28 10:35 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? | BUY | 0.1134676736 | $14.72 |
| 10-28 09:18 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? | BUY | 0.0682668501 | $3.47 |
| 10-28 09:10 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.56 |
| 10-24 22:02 | Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M? | BUY | 0.12895 | $25.79 |
| 10-23 11:21 | Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.1371186441 | $40.45 |
| 10-23 11:19 | Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.2640733333 | $79.22 |
| 10-23 07:07 | Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | BUY | 0.106 | $23.92 |