0xb8f899f9dfb54f835cde362143583e795f1971f1
0xb8f899f9dfb54f835cde362143583e795f1971f1
- Realised P&L
- $-0.80
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $57.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.930 | 1.000 | $30.36 | +$2.11 |
| Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.880 | 1.000 | $27.00 | +$3.24 |
| Will Boreham Wood FC vs. Boston United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva · Francesca Jones | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.28 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-29? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.86 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) · Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Will CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.34at 0.475Will England win on 2026-09-26?
- +$6.88at 0.850Columbus: Aidan Mayo vs Colton Smith
- +$4.18at 0.495Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?
- +$3.74at 0.841Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)
- +$3.69at 0.575Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Asian Qualifier Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 17:58 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.85 |
| 10-09 17:57 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-09? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-09 17:43 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.93 | $48.47 |
| 10-05 20:35 | Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.97 | $46.69 |
| 10-01 13:02 | Porto 2: Edas Butvilas vs Moez Echargui | BUY | 0.919999999 | $36.30 |
| 09-27 17:14 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.9679999992 | $30.90 |
| 09-26 19:42 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4599999949 | $14.31 |
| 09-25 20:53 | Will Guadeloupe win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.9479686385 | $14.00 |
| 09-24 19:39 | Spread: Germany (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9169999946 | $12.94 |
| 09-24 14:20 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.8399999908 | $10.96 |
| 09-24 11:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.9109980324 | $10.12 |
| 09-21 09:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 09-18 18:52 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1679999993 | $14.93 |
| 09-18 18:28 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1739999981 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 13:48 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1939848751 | $16.48 |