PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb8f380018Eb330836d10Ee9585c840EA473816B3-1759120403521

0xb8f380018eb330836d10ee9585c840ea473816b3

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$526.8k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$60.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · Yes0.1040.080$30.82$9.18
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · Yes0.0510.038$25.25$8.32
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? · Yes0.0640.030$4.89$5.44
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? · No0.1800.000$0.00$36.00
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.40
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 20? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$6.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? · No0.3150.000$0.00$77.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$12.00
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00$100.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$200.20
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.0340.000$0.00$488.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 17:01Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?BUY0.0370640022$8.01
08-30 14:31Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.0905075664$10.00
08-17 06:44Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.1091752718$30.00
07-24 04:53Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.2549999986$100.00
07-19 13:42Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?SELL0.0579569333$8.69
07-18 20:09Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?BUY0.064461816$20.00
07-18 19:25Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.0481136769$92.82
07-18 19:24Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.001$20.00
07-18 19:20Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 20?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
06-29 17:55Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0629999989$50.00
06-29 17:54Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999986$15.00
06-29 17:51Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999956$5.00
06-29 14:06Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1899999894$12.00
06-29 11:18Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?SELL0.07$6.13
06-29 11:17Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?BUY0.0489999925$6.00