0xb8f380018Eb330836d10Ee9585c840EA473816B3-1759120403521
0xb8f380018eb330836d10ee9585c840ea473816b3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $526.8k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $60.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$549.30at 0.777Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
- +$502.07at 0.666Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
- +$489.76at 0.671Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
- +$375.00at 0.800Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$127.83at 0.702Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 17:01 | Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | BUY | 0.0370640022 | $8.01 |
| 08-30 14:31 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0905075664 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 06:44 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.1091752718 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 04:53 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2549999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 13:42 | Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? | SELL | 0.0579569333 | $8.69 |
| 07-18 20:09 | Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? | BUY | 0.064461816 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 19:25 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0481136769 | $92.82 |
| 07-18 19:24 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 17:55 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0629999989 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 17:54 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999986 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 17:51 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999956 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 14:06 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1899999894 | $12.00 |
| 06-29 11:18 | Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.13 |
| 06-29 11:17 | Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan? | BUY | 0.0489999925 | $6.00 |