0xb8E2a2ee54E707926dc732C43032B2d3C5987dF9-1767613269797
0xb8e2a2ee54e707926dc732c43032b2d3c5987df9
- Realised P&L
- $-156.39
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $10.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.67at 0.210Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$111.22at 0.090Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$57.62at 0.637Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
- +$28.71at 0.409Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.34at 0.452Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 10:05 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $110.00 |
| 06-24 22:49 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1509999989 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 22:49 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 22:47 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 04-19 07:27 | Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 07:22 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next? | BUY | 0.0647551959 | $2.00 |
| 04-19 07:10 | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BUY | 0.0177546224 | $2.00 |
| 04-19 07:06 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 04-19 07:05 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 07:03 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1123489355 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 07:02 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 07:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | BUY | 0.0169999918 | $1.72 |
| 04-19 07:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.129999975 | $3.50 |
| 04-19 07:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 21:33 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |