PolyBot

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Traders

0xb8e2348F03CE4E37434d4F6B011a3Ed22441C595-1770132733710

0xb8e2348f03ce4e37434d4f6b011a3ed22441c595

Realised P&L
$214.61
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
206
Open portfolio
$27.30

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded206
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 10:38Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 4?BUY0.8099999741$5.00
10-02 06:08Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2?BUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-01 11:28Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.609999986$10.00
10-01 09:02Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.5637981911$10.00
10-01 08:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.5$10.00
10-01 08:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 3?BUY0.1538461538$5.00
10-01 08:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
09-30 12:23Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.6799999946$10.00
09-30 10:44Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2?BUY0.805393139$5.00
09-30 10:44Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
09-30 07:18Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2?BUY0.7876651635$10.00
09-30 07:06Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
09-30 07:05Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
09-30 07:05Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-29 15:39Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.8199999967$10.00