0xb8e2348F03CE4E37434d4F6B011a3Ed22441C595-1770132733710
0xb8e2348f03ce4e37434d4f6b011a3ed22441c595
- Realised P&L
- $214.61
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $27.30
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.20at 0.537Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?
- +$87.40at 0.146Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
- +$80.63at 0.303Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 12?
- +$71.00at 0.443Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?
- +$70.01at 0.306Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5637981911 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1538461538 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.805393139 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.7876651635 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |