PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2conservative

0xb8e0f4f6707b2fb64c11e623c6db203758a44bfa

Realised P&L
$-97.82
Volume
$64.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$774.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.9400.998$449.22+$26.11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2510.235$324.86−$21.75
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner · LOS0.3500.000$0.00−$52.50
LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner · LOS0.2580.000$0.00−$388.00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner · G2 Esports0.5450.000$0.00−$65.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:31Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.54$33.72
11-01 17:21Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.94$423.11
11-01 17:20Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.0450028608$490.02
11-01 17:05Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.1$40.00
11-01 17:04Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.13$34.71
11-01 17:04Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.12$2.40
11-01 17:03Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.11$75.76
11-01 16:38Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.16$16.80
11-01 16:30Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.17$22.10
11-01 16:29Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.17$1.25
11-01 16:29Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.17$28.90
11-01 15:49Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.6312532655$91.82
11-01 15:48Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.19$190.00
11-01 15:43Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.1869888054$105.57
11-01 15:42Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.187925453$116.57