PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb8d98a83b9a55352c978078b4ee807f0f6b3fb44

0xb8d98a83b9a55352c978078b4ee807f0f6b3fb44

Realised P&L
$-9.56
Volume
$67.70
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$5.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.4000.720$1.80+$0.80
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes0.6100.980$1.61+$0.61
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.6900.880$1.28+$0.28
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.7100.860$1.21+$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 13:56Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-21 05:55Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
09-20 21:39Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-19 05:23Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-17 23:13Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-15 23:45Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-09 08:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.4$1.00
09-08 07:08LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.25$1.00
09-07 16:08Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-07 07:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.719999856$1.00
09-03 21:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
09-01 14:57Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-01 06:53Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-29 09:29Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?BUY0.52$1.00
08-27 18:12Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00