0xb8D768C1FbC564ad2Be4a73C08d536E998276F40-1774998979254
0xb8d768c1fbc564ad2be4a73c08d536e998276f40
- Realised P&L
- $976.97
- Volume
- $607.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $178.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.184Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.5kat 0.622Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$1.7kat 0.490Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.740Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$996.72at 0.414Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 20:23 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0181876196 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 20:18 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.025 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 20:14 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 10-01 20:13 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 20:10 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 20:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 20:03 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 20:02 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.08 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 19:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:50 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0976564407 | $200.00 |
| 10-01 19:49 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1667140657 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:49 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:48 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:42 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:17 | Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw? | SELL | 0.17 | $148.75 |