PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb8D768C1FbC564ad2Be4a73C08d536E998276F40-1774998979254

0xb8d768c1fbc564ad2be4a73c08d536e998276f40

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$587.5k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$360.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0460.011$205.32$618.10
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1200.140$126.00+$18.00
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0040.002$18.90$38.69
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$10.50$45.50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$310.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$169.12
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00$1.7k
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$249.99
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$70.00
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$287.17
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$10.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$7.8k
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 9? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$2.17
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0460.000$0.00$36.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 20:31Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.045855$36.68
08-04 17:48Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.03693242$31.24
08-04 17:48Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.036$21.60
08-04 09:04Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.004$36.00
08-03 13:58Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.12$108.00
08-03 08:47Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.041$135.30
08-02 21:49Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.0493662447$600.00
07-19 22:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$3.9k
07-19 21:48Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9072863796$362.37
07-19 21:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.657$131.40
07-19 21:31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.668$133.60
07-19 21:30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6759749987$135.19
07-19 21:29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.694$138.80
07-19 21:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.662$132.40
07-19 21:25Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.679$21.15