0xb8D768C1FbC564ad2Be4a73C08d536E998276F40-1774998979254
0xb8d768c1fbc564ad2be4a73c08d536e998276f40
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $587.5k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $360.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.184Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.5kat 0.622Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$1.7kat 0.490Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.740Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$996.72at 0.414Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 20:31 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.045855 | $36.68 |
| 08-04 17:48 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.03693242 | $31.24 |
| 08-04 17:48 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.036 | $21.60 |
| 08-04 09:04 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $36.00 |
| 08-03 13:58 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $108.00 |
| 08-03 08:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.041 | $135.30 |
| 08-02 21:49 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0493662447 | $600.00 |
| 07-19 22:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.9k |
| 07-19 21:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9072863796 | $362.37 |
| 07-19 21:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.657 | $131.40 |
| 07-19 21:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.668 | $133.60 |
| 07-19 21:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6759749987 | $135.19 |
| 07-19 21:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.694 | $138.80 |
| 07-19 21:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.662 | $132.40 |
| 07-19 21:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.679 | $21.15 |