PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

elreptil

0xb8d2bf9500e4731b09f54c7ebec6bf89899ec66b

Realised P&L
$30.6k
Volume
$1.61M
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$18.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.8630.800$8.3k$656.60
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8660.905$7.1k+$303.23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3860.345$3.5k$417.45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00$200.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2020.000$0.00$2.9k
Spain leading at halftime? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$250.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$300.00
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00$150.00
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$500.00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$50.00
Argentina to win the second half? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$250.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:58Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.8852115633$3.0k
08-02 01:22Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.724334053$1.1k
07-31 01:20Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.88$2.0k
07-28 08:17Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.833302112$3.0k
07-24 15:10Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.77$1.5k
07-22 17:21Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3862443481$3.9k
07-19 21:16Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2949999987$100.00
07-19 19:16Spain leading at halftime?BUY0.3499999992$250.00
07-19 19:15Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.5975$248.95
07-19 19:15Argentina to win the second half?BUY0.3099999995$250.00
07-19 19:14Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$250.00
07-19 18:26Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4109999998$600.00
07-19 18:24Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.84$520.32
07-17 05:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.958$517.54
07-17 05:53Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.601$243.65