elreptil
0xb8d2bf9500e4731b09f54c7ebec6bf89899ec66b
- Realised P&L
- $29.2k
- Volume
- $1.69M
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $26.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.741US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$5.8kat 0.872Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
- +$3.9kat 0.203Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$3.8kat 0.911Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
- +$3.1kat 0.935Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 14:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9022717716 | $2.0k |
| 09-10 14:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8999999997 | $2.0k |
| 09-06 18:49 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $200.00 |
| 09-06 18:48 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.8 | $200.00 |
| 09-06 18:46 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-06 02:03 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.3383063902 | $2.0k |
| 09-03 15:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9515678713 | $10.0k |
| 09-03 15:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8917285893 | $7.0k |
| 09-01 02:41 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.0k |
| 08-31 16:09 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.0k |
| 08-30 01:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3003659508 | $1.1k |
| 08-27 17:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $2.0k |
| 08-27 03:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8669999999 | $2.0k |
| 08-25 23:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.0k |
| 08-25 23:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | BUY | 0.954120179 | $5.0k |