frontierecco
0xb8c8ade9267f0a27d4829cacc6eec557f24f87d1
- Realised P&L
- $-175.04
- Volume
- $44.4k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $76.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.900 | $76.01 | +$33.01 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.39at 0.409Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$96.19at 0.429US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
- +$77.14at 0.630Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$61.16at 0.328Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$39.94at 0.679Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:16 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.9 | $38.66 |
| 09-13 20:28 | Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.32 |
| 09-13 19:33 | Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0207209783 | $1.91 |
| 09-13 19:33 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0519236751 | $3.61 |
| 09-13 11:53 | Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5099999841 | $8.00 |
| 09-13 11:52 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7 | $8.40 |
| 09-13 00:27 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7199999794 | $14.00 |
| 09-13 00:26 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 00:24 | Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 23:46 | Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2764227611 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 23:43 | Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.257489474 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 23:40 | Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.17 | $9.04 |
| 09-12 21:37 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7040270346 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 21:33 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.34 | $14.53 |
| 09-12 21:19 | Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5082212151 | $20.00 |