joysee32
0xb8c77ec2e97171deed68b183a424c65105deae4e
- Realised P&L
- $-16.26
- Volume
- $114.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $1.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evo Morales arrested by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.744 | $1.65 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.940Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.19at 0.950D4vd arrested by October 31?
- +$0.19at 0.962MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.15at 0.983Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of December?
- +$0.12at 0.969Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 07:27 | Evo Morales arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.20 |
| 09-02 07:26 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.35 |
| 08-08 15:12 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.9869999979 | $2.33 |
| 08-08 15:11 | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.52 |
| 07-23 07:54 | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | BUY | 0.669999977 | $8.43 |
| 06-07 09:49 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.978 | $4.64 |
| 06-07 09:24 | Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.16 |
| 06-07 09:01 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9789999987 | $4.65 |
| 06-07 09:01 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $4.64 |
| 05-09 08:46 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $4.66 |
| 05-09 08:45 | Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $8.53 |
| 04-10 03:31 | Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.53 |
| 04-10 03:30 | Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.972 | $8.53 |
| 03-17 11:36 | Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.78 |
| 02-24 12:23 | Will Justin Tucker sign with an NFL team this year? | BUY | 0.9989999746 | $8.77 |