PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb8c2130baef8c723bcff98066232a219adab1f9a

Realised P&L
$2.58
Volume
$11.73
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$3.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar22.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8000.875$1.09+$0.09
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? · Yes0.3700.375$1.01+$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.7600.770$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 15:51Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-15 07:50Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-12 06:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$1.00
09-11 22:54Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-10 08:00Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-09 23:24Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-09 14:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.59999988$1.00