PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb8bc433762e76d8afa1478bc1c78475614bb37d1

Realised P&L
$7.33
Volume
$19.0k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$95.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7700.780$23.38+$0.31
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.5500.579$10.52+$0.52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.785$10.33+$0.33
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6350.615$9.69$0.31
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.5800.505$8.71$1.29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.7401.000$6.75+$1.75
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.2000.130$6.50$3.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2080.207$4.99$0.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.6900.595$4.31$0.69
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes0.7800.845$3.25+$0.25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.6800.355$2.61$2.39
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1280.135$2.10+$0.10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0990.036$1.82$3.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:19Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.128$2.00
08-02 17:19Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2079999717$5.00
08-01 23:50Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
08-01 23:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.7399998964$5.00
08-01 17:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2?BUY0.14999994$2.00
08-01 17:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?BUY0.3465346185$5.00
08-01 16:31Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.78$3.00
08-01 14:55Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.8199999836$5.00
08-01 13:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
08-01 13:00Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
07-31 23:07Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
07-31 23:07Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7599999878$10.00
07-31 23:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999917$5.00
07-31 22:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?BUY0.599999976$5.00
07-31 02:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?BUY0.8699998695$5.00
Trader 0xb8bc…37d1 · PolyBot