0xb8bc433762e76d8afa1478bc1c78475614bb37d1
- Realised P&L
- $7.33
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $95.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.21at 0.155Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
- +$85.80at 0.390Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$72.71at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?
- +$70.91at 0.220Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$35.45at 0.220Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:19 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.128 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:19 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2079999717 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 23:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.7399998964 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3465346185 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 16:31 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 14:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 13:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 13:00 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 23:07 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:07 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.8699998695 | $5.00 |