PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kathywarner

0xb8b539f0c1e37728d216e3cb8ae5757eb943cc36

Realised P&L
$-10.35
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$107.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? · No0.7900.947$77.54+$12.82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · Team Yandex0.8500.855$29.57+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:58Will Solana dip to $90 in January?BUY0.999$15.41
01-30 15:24Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?BUY0.9989999668$6.77
01-30 15:16Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$22.19
01-30 13:18Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?BUY0.9989999632$21.20
01-30 13:02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.9989999962$31.85
12-30 16:59Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9979999586$8.15
12-30 12:43Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$8.67
12-30 11:16Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?BUY0.998$12.64
12-29 21:53Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?BUY0.998$17.19
12-29 21:14Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?BUY0.999$49.47
10-31 15:51Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?BUY0.999$11.74
10-31 15:46Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$18.14
10-30 17:57Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October?BUY0.999$24.34
09-29 13:28Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9869999993$16.64
09-29 05:47Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$15.45