0xb8a6ca9a057ce7017ae1b5732d00a41a1a47eadc
0xb8a6ca9a057ce7017ae1b5732d00a41a1a47eadc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $68.5k
- Markets traded
- 698
- Open portfolio
- $137.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded698
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.78at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$101.70at 0.522Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$88.33at 0.832Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?
- +$87.38at 0.200Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
- +$82.54at 0.063Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 01:45 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6899999938 | $32.37 |
| 10-02 01:45 | Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6099999968 | $32.03 |
| 10-02 01:43 | Will Poland win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.629999998 | $48.10 |
| 10-01 02:03 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4699999997 | $32.06 |
| 10-01 01:56 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6499999952 | $26.97 |
| 10-01 01:56 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4899999931 | $21.40 |
| 10-01 01:55 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999961 | $42.15 |
| 09-29 16:35 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $108.69 |
| 09-29 16:29 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6099999948 | $37.65 |
| 09-28 18:08 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4899999913 | $20.84 |
| 09-28 18:06 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $21.31 |
| 09-28 17:54 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4499999948 | $21.44 |
| 09-24 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 09-24 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $7.59 |
| 09-23 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999872 | $11.66 |