PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb8a6ca9a057ce7017ae1b5732d00a41a1a47eadc

0xb8a6ca9a057ce7017ae1b5732d00a41a1a47eadc

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$68.5k
Markets traded
698
Open portfolio
$137.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded698
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Poland win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6300.615$46.95−$1.15
Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6100.635$33.34+$1.31
Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6900.675$31.67−$0.70
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6500.625$25.93−$1.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6150.000$0.00−$35.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00−$8.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00−$20.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.6700.000$0.00−$5.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$5.30
BNB Up or Down - August 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.8510.000$0.00−$4.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$5.38
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$32.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00−$3.18
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$11.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 01:45Will France win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6899999938$32.37
10-02 01:45Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6099999968$32.03
10-02 01:43Will Poland win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.629999998$48.10
10-01 02:03Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4699999997$32.06
10-01 01:56Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.6499999952$26.97
10-01 01:56Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4899999931$21.40
10-01 01:55Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.6799999961$42.15
09-29 16:35Will England win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.7699999992$108.69
09-29 16:29Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.6099999948$37.65
09-28 18:08Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4899999913$20.84
09-28 18:06Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3399999978$21.31
09-28 17:54Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4499999948$21.44
09-24 13:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.01$0.11
09-24 13:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.69$7.59
09-23 16:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.6199999872$11.66