PolyBot

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Traders

Arnold-Boczek

0xb8a2cab7f099d5d6f2fc008bc5f39e207fead930

Realised P&L
$7.56
Volume
$990.51
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$80.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.2300.895$15.21+$11.30
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 21? · Yes0.4000.535$5.35+$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 21? · Yes0.6300.780$4.68+$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? · Yes0.3100.390$3.90+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22? · Yes0.3900.485$3.88+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22? · Yes0.2200.250$3.75+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22? · Yes0.5400.590$3.54+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? · Yes0.3700.350$3.50$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 22? · Yes0.1000.105$3.46+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 21? · Yes0.5200.490$3.43$0.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21? · Yes0.5100.485$3.40$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22? · Yes0.5800.670$3.35+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22? · Yes0.3300.355$3.19+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 22? · Yes0.4400.455$3.19+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? · Yes0.6400.635$3.17$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 19:48Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29?BUY0.41$2.05
07-28 19:48Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29?SELL0.4$2.00
07-26 21:01Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?SELL0.2123529412$14.44
07-22 21:02Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.399$27.63
07-22 16:58Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.786$0.47