Arnold-Boczek
0xb8a2cab7f099d5d6f2fc008bc5f39e207fead930
- Realised P&L
- $7.56
- Volume
- $990.51
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $80.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.56at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29?
- +$11.36at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?
- +$11.36at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
- +$11.36at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 29?
- +$11.36at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-28 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 21:01 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? | SELL | 0.2123529412 | $14.44 |
| 07-22 21:02 | Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.399 | $27.63 |
| 07-22 16:58 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.786 | $0.47 |