j888s
0xb8a26403574430e98120ae73179b1566366569e1
- Realised P&L
- $-57.42
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $73.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $72.87 | +$0.37 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.995 | 0.999 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchaga · Roman Andres Burruchaga | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.77at 0.659Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$1.51at 0.994Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$1.14at 0.913MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.17at 0.975Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?
- +$0.16at 0.989Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $9.50?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9903852775 | $72.50 |
| 09-10 03:15 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $72.00 |
| 08-25 03:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $62.00 |
| 08-20 05:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | SELL | 0.79 | $6.11 |
| 08-04 06:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9979998413 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 06:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:07 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.00 |
| 08-04 06:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.9929999994 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 06:06 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 06:06 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |