autrn3
0xb89f6b46f80ae307b2a6cdc24a43a822ddf59475
- Realised P&L
- $-8.4k
- Volume
- $71.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $764.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.040 | $764.13 | +$31.44 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.055 | $0.28 | −$0.88 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.574Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$448.71at 0.626Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$347.22at 0.446Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
- +$183.53at 0.500Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner
- +$171.81at 0.427Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 18:46 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.471 | $93.05 |
| 07-23 18:32 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4660732118 | $5.1k |
| 07-03 05:53 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0378752946 | $732.70 |
| 07-02 15:33 | Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.0k |
| 07-02 13:04 | Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.51 | $766.06 |
| 07-01 14:26 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.56 | $102.19 |
| 07-01 14:19 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.55 | $60.50 |
| 07-01 14:05 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.5385303483 | $109.93 |
| 06-29 23:14 | Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.42 | $126.00 |
| 06-29 17:22 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.0k |
| 06-12 12:11 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 22:09 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 06-08 22:09 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.59 | $507.87 |
| 06-02 21:25 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.619 | $185.70 |
| 06-02 21:25 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.619 | $557.10 |