PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb8935d859ba3af23e88d891edc49ec7fa2ec35d6-1789299717358

0xb8935d859ba3af23e88d891edc49ec7fa2ec35d6

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$567.6k
Markets traded
362
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded362
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3840.615$2.1k+$802.23
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? · No0.6720.755$1.9k+$207.00
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch · No0.5800.615$778.59+$44.31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5800.984$491.69+$201.73
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.5830.700$325.61+$54.27
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3500.415$149.40+$23.40
Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6310.245$89.71$141.26
Will Pluralis launch a token by March 31, 2027? · No0.5700.710$35.50+$7.00
Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7250.030$17.39$395.61
Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.580$2.20+$0.30
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.4790.850$0.88+$0.38
Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30? · No0.3600.000$0.00$10.80
VfL Osnabrück vs. Hertha BSC: Hertha BSC 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$40.00
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance · Olympique Lyonnais0.4990.000$0.00$393.25
Spread: United States (-1.5) · Australia0.1730.000$0.00$31.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 17:26Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.32$32.00
09-14 18:50Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?BUY0.6877488$1.4k
09-13 18:29Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.52$26.00
09-13 17:25GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchSELL0.7046173169$137.45
09-13 17:20Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.999$935.05
09-12 12:16Real Racing Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.59$35.40
09-06 15:49Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.52$52.00
09-06 14:47Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.9596633333$2.9k
09-06 14:42Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.9873139535$849.09
09-06 14:38Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.53$53.00
09-05 17:31Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.15$15.00
09-05 13:13Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?SELL0.973$1.4k
09-05 13:12Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.97$1.3k
09-05 12:51Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.28$42.00
09-04 18:55Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04?SELL0.999$149.85