PolyBot

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Traders

0xb8923e5d8e8b77746a055094cb6bdf15c107fd3a

0xb8923e5d8e8b77746a055094cb6bdf15c107fd3a

Realised P&L
$382.95
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
258
Open portfolio
$2.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded258
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat? · Yes0.9430.986$1.09+$0.05
Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat? · Yes0.9200.968$1.06+$0.05
Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Joaquin Aguilar · Juan Bautista Torres0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$20.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 17:49Will the Republican Party win the NY-07 House seat?SELL0.961$1.05
07-08 17:49Will the Republican Party win the WA-06 House seat?SELL0.94$1.02
07-08 17:49Will the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?SELL0.93$1.01
07-08 17:49Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?SELL0.94$1.02
07-08 17:49Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat?SELL0.971$1.06
07-08 17:48Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?SELL0.94$1.02
07-08 17:48Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat?SELL0.93$1.01
07-08 17:48Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?SELL0.92$1.00
07-08 17:48Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?SELL0.93$1.01
07-08 17:47Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?SELL0.94$1.02
07-08 17:47Will the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?SELL0.93$1.01
07-08 17:47Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?SELL0.935$1.03
07-08 17:46Will the Democratic Party win the MN-03 House seat?SELL0.92$1.03
07-08 17:46Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?SELL0.935$1.06
07-08 17:46Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?SELL0.93$1.09