0xb892000eBc43a27584A7A0f28dc9fDF740b62395-1760051465729
0xb892000ebc43a27584a7a0f28dc9fdf740b62395
- Realised P&L
- $158.33
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $106.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.362 | $61.54 | +$12.66 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.093 | $44.66 | −$10.56 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$589.56 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Romania win on 2026-06-02? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$804.34at 0.148Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$25.45at 0.370Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 16:25 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1149999979 | $55.22 |
| 06-18 03:30 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999996 | $400.00 |
| 06-02 18:00 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-02 18:00 | Will Romania win on 2026-06-02? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 00:05 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2875435987 | $48.88 |
| 04-25 22:07 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.5 | $97.88 |
| 04-01 18:07 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1299999978 | $47.02 |
| 04-01 18:07 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1268715662 | $130.00 |
| 02-20 19:52 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1122713094 | $59.56 |
| 02-20 19:52 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.071 | $50.00 |
| 12-20 22:57 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.3699999982 | $72.43 |
| 10-10 01:10 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.16 | $93.27 |