naishz0r
0xb891d11681b736c495c74e1a1a9735982360e65a
- Realised P&L
- $457.76
- Volume
- $140.5k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.077Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.5kat 0.150Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$852.63at 0.190Ethereum flipped in 2026?
- +$271.77at 0.367BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Diane Parry
- +$260.53at 0.793Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 08:05 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.298 | $3.89 |
| 07-28 20:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.232 | $220.40 |
| 07-21 08:44 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $61.54 |
| 07-20 20:40 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $15.35 |
| 07-20 20:32 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $191.40 |
| 07-16 13:39 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5795 | $57.95 |
| 07-16 13:39 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5566942149 | $67.36 |
| 07-16 09:31 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 08:19 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 07-14 08:19 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.76 |
| 07-10 20:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.4825 | $57.90 |
| 07-10 20:09 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.4625 | $55.50 |
| 07-07 19:00 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.24 | $192.00 |
| 07-07 18:51 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.29904 | $149.52 |
| 07-07 18:50 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.692 | $108.78 |