PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OranG3

0xb888f00cef2cae6144b7a57ec2ef9fcf1ddfccfd

Realised P&L
$570.35
Volume
$2.16M
Markets traded
405
Open portfolio
$18.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded405
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17? · No0.9300.930$9.3k+$0.33
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? · No0.9100.915$9.1k+$50.00
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? · No0.9500.962$403.83+$4.83
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$13.83
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$950.47
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$3.0k
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$3.90
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$622.49
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$940.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5900.000$0.00−$5.9k
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$20.26
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$45.71
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-04? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$21.77
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$480.00
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$570.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 20:23Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.975$7.3k
09-12 14:32Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.972$97.20
07-06 18:50Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.65$439.40
07-01 17:23Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.64$3.6k
06-30 03:34Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$100.00
06-13 18:59Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$6.76
06-01 07:19Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$450.25
06-01 07:19Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$669.33
06-01 07:19Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$1.5k
06-01 07:19Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$414.58
06-01 07:19Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$1.5k
06-01 07:19Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$443.86
05-24 05:24Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$100.00
05-04 14:02Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?BUY0.74$1.5k
05-02 20:40Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?BUY0.33$2.60