gggkj
0xb875712bb04ff8e3a304a5c27c7b45176cd4f2dd
- Realised P&L
- $-31.5k
- Volume
- $1.99M
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $58.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.005 | $58.71 | −$91.29 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No | 0.183 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.0k |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.2kat 0.051US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$-14.1kat 0.017US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 19:25 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0140513306 | $150.00 |
| 05-05 19:51 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.046 | $89.16 |
| 05-05 19:12 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1203381623 | $700.00 |
| 05-05 18:58 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0978188269 | $1.5k |
| 04-12 19:18 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.0139585895 | $300.00 |
| 04-12 16:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.1936979969 | $500.00 |
| 04-12 14:55 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.16 | $500.00 |
| 04-12 11:53 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.16 | $700.00 |
| 04-12 10:18 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.19999906 | $1000.00 |
| 04-12 01:12 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 04-12 01:12 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 04-12 00:43 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.0k |
| 04-08 00:07 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $433.13 |
| 04-08 00:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.008 | $183.59 |
| 04-07 23:19 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.0230012194 | $143.73 |